House prices 'set to rise in 2013' says surveyors' institution

First published in Business Daily

HOUSE prices in the UK will see an increase of two per cent over the course of next year while the cost of renting a home should rise by around four per cent, according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS).

Although challenging times are still ahead for the nation’s economy it adds, 2013 might see some slight improvements, reflected in the housing market.

In addition to rising prices, the number of transactions will also see a further increase, moving up just over three per cent to 960,000, from 930,000 in 2012. Although that represents an improvement, to put it in context, total sales in 2006 were well above that amount, at 1.67 million.

In London, the prime central market is likely to be broadly stable following the tax changes announced earlier in the year but much of the rest of the capital will continue to see above average increases.

Elsewhere, the South East and the North West should also see modest rises. The rest of the country will either see prices dip slightly or remain flat.

Meanwhile, with estimates stating that up to a quarter of loans taken out at the height of the market (2007) are being in negative equity, the recent trend in repossessions looks set to continue.

With the number of possession claims and mortgages currently more than three months in arrears falling, however, the number of repossessions should dip below 35,000 for the first time since 2007.

2012 UK housing market at a glance: House prices to increase by two per cent Cost of renting to grow by four per cent Transactions to modestly increase to 960,000 Repossessions to drop to below 35,000 Housing starts to edge up towards 115,000 in England Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, said: “The average house price in the UK looks set to rise by a further two per cent next year, despite the uncertain outlook for the economy.

“More positively, the amount of sales going through should also see an increase across the country, climbing to its best level since 2007, as the Funding for Lending scheme helps boost the availability of mortgage finance.

“But these tentative signs of recovery in the sales market should not blind us to the very real problems that still exist.

“Even with the Funding for Lending scheme and come other Government policies beginning to be felt in the mortgage market, many first-time buyers will continue to find it difficult to secure a sufficiently large loan to take an initial step on the housing market.

“Meanwhile, the alternative of renting is becoming more and more costly, with a further increase in rents likely in 2013.

“Critically, the Government needs to ensure that the conditions are in place that will enable the stock of new housing, whether for purchase or rent, to rise more rapidly.”

Comments (2)

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6:18pm Sun 23 Dec 12

Dr Strangelove says...

How funny I was just reading the figures for monthly rental costs and they have been falling for 9 months now. As for any rise in the sold price they to are down across the country only asking prices have gone up. No it's looking like all the government props are starting to fail. House prices will now start to fall which is good news for the wider economy. We might even get the economy back on its feet if there is a proper correction in house prices.
How funny I was just reading the figures for monthly rental costs and they have been falling for 9 months now. As for any rise in the sold price they to are down across the country only asking prices have gone up. No it's looking like all the government props are starting to fail. House prices will now start to fall which is good news for the wider economy. We might even get the economy back on its feet if there is a proper correction in house prices. Dr Strangelove
  • Score: 0

10:15am Tue 25 Dec 12

Poppasmurf says...

I agree with the above. House prices will continue their steady fall. The law of economics shows that they had reached unsustainable heights. I think the Institute of Surveyors is doing a lot of wishful thinking in their report - no doubt looking hungrily at the days of sky-high commissions they used to receive. Thankfully, those days are long gone. Who knows, one day houses may even become affordable again.
I agree with the above. House prices will continue their steady fall. The law of economics shows that they had reached unsustainable heights. I think the Institute of Surveyors is doing a lot of wishful thinking in their report - no doubt looking hungrily at the days of sky-high commissions they used to receive. Thankfully, those days are long gone. Who knows, one day houses may even become affordable again. Poppasmurf
  • Score: 0

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